Hello🌻
What is speculation?
Its definitions are:
- the forming of a theory or conjecture without firm evidence
- the act of conducting a financial transaction that has substantial risk of losing value but also holds the expectation of a significant gain or other major value
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For example, short term foreign currency trades are considered as speculation by many investors.
By looking at a chart, you think “it looks cheap, so should go up soon, maybe, most likely…”
But you have no firm evidence.
You may be able to make a good profit in a short term or lose a lot….
Definitely a speculation.
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So is speculation a bad thing to do?
It is risky, but not a bad thing.
High risk – High return…scary but attractive💕
You just need to be sure the maximum amount (or % out of the total) you are willing to put into speculation. And of course, you need to stick to it!
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When you are making a long term investment safely, you don’t need to worry much about short-term movement of the market. You need to check once in a while especially when there is a big movement, but that’s about it.
However, if you are speculating, you need to be at least aware of the market sentiments/direction.
If you can’t be bothered with that, DO NOT speculate.
If you like to study about the market (like me), a little speculation can be fun😉
You just need to know what works for you.
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For now, I’m planning to allocate about 10% of my savings into speculation. I like currency trading ! (I’m not a day trader though😅)
I’m aware that I could make a big loss for that portion, but I acknowledge the risk.
Once I pay off a bit more of my mortgage, maybe I can increase the %, but then I’ll need to think about the kids education, my age etc. So many things to consider.
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Rounding up….
If you are going to start investing (in this case mainly ETFs)
- check the total amount of charges you need to pay to purchase the products & decide which broker/fund manager you are going to use.
- Understand the difference between investment & speculation (your own understanding – not what the others tell you)
- decide the % you will allocate for speculation (could be 0% depending on your circumstance & preference).
Let’s start investing!

My happy samurai life in London💫










